Didn't realise it has been so long since my last post, how time flies.

Hopefully people are getting to grips with the new database.

I have arrange a meeting tomorrow with the developer, so I will be going through the database with him via a screen sharing utility, explaining what needs fixing, tidying up, as well as some other things.

This will be the next stage to really fixing anything that's currently wrong with the database. I think after this stage, we will look to do further work, so expect a rather quick update just fixing a few things currently wrong. Then expect a major update, this will take a lot longer obviously, so you will have to be patient! I will keep you updated on what we intend to add for the next major release on the blog, however I am quite busy at the minute, so expect a post every 1-3 weeks.

In other news, I have finally been able to get my data out of the database thanks to the developer adding in the copy trades button.

I've been analyzing some of my tennis betting data in Excel..slowly, very slowly. Slowly because I am not great with formula's in Excel at all and have been having to trial and error.

So far majority of my data is from the Clay court season. I didn't really begin recording until the 31st March this year, So I basically missed the first part of the hard court season for 3 months - annoying.

I then missed Roland Garros pretty much, the grass court season and most of July.

I started recording again last week, so I've already missed the grass court tournaments and a few of the smaller hard court tournaments (which tend to be particularly good for upsets I think).

Now we move on with back to back masters tournament's this week, so I have a feeling my results aren't going to be great, as more of the match ups are a lot more even and it's harder to find value.

As for the analyzing, I have just been 'messing' about today, I have noticed that a probability greater than 40% with my settings seems to be the most profitable area.

Realistically, I should be able to find value across all probabilities, which is why in the future I will need to change my system, for now I just want to get the results in, analyze and see if this system is actually accurate enough to produce profit somewhere or if it's just random luck so far.

**Graphs**
Just to point out, the number of trades along the bottom is 'broke' on the graphs below. This is because the way I have so far, of calculating a running profit total, it returns a 0 figure when using the probability filters.

So for example, when set to 40%, any bets below the 40% probability filter return a 0 as Profit/Loss. The graphs are based off the running total, so they still count the zero's/same running total number.

If the running total was £2000 and the next bet was below 40%, it would produce a 0, the running total for that bet would still be £2000.

Hopefully this does not sound too confusing, basically it's something I need to work on fixing so that the running total does not repeat numbers based on the 0s. Once this is fixed, I will know the exact number of trades for each graph. At the moment only when no probability filter is on, are the trade numbers accurate. Just to clear that up in-case someone pointed it out :).

If anyone's interested in a specific graph, I can always let you know how many bet's there are in that specific one / sample size - by manually counting! Not great I know, however it's something I'm going to fix in the near future.

Below, are a few graphs I've managed to create in Excel today.

This is relatively in-depth, maybe even boring to some of you, however should be interesting to others. So keep reading if interested! If not, hit back on your browser ;)

**WTA - All Surfaces - No probability filter**
** **
Notice the lowest point, just over -£6000, the huge up curve is from the Washington/Stanford Hard court tournaments. Series 1 = profit..if you hadn't already had guessed!

This graph so far has a steady/slight decline overall.

**WTA - All Surfaces - 40% or greater probability filter**
** **
** **A rather bumpy graph, this one shows a very slight positive climb, for all surfaces with the filter.

**WTA - Clay - No probability filter**
** **
As you can see, so far a steady downwards decline.

**WTA - Clay - ****40% or greater probability filter**
Improvement from above, relatively steady, however need more results. Still losing money though.

**WTA - Hard - No probability filter**
Very small sample size still, however positive incline so far.

**WTA - Hard - ****40% or greater probability filter**
Smoother graph, positive incline. Small sample size than above - 66 bets.

So far, I can't presume too much from the graphs as I don't have enough data really - especially for hard courts for women, however I am fairly confident that I need to factor the surface for women on Clay a lot more that I currently am.

Now onto the Men's....

**ATP - All surfaces - No filter**
A positive graph with shall inclination, although it's a bit uncertain where it is going. It peaked at around £6600 and hit a low after that of around £1800. It would seem that the hard court tournament was responsible for the sharp decline currently at the end. Need more hard court data to interpret better.

**ATP - All surfaces - ****40% or greater probability filter**
Very similar to above, again, the recent hard court tournaments I have recorded (first hard court's recorded for men), have brought the graph downwards. Positive graph, gradual inclination however more data required.

**ATP - Clay - No Probability filter**
** **
Positive graph, gradual/steady increase.

**ATP - Clay - 40% or greater probability filter**
** **
Not quite as smooth as above, this will be due to the number of trades, however as we can see. A positive graph. Bumpy increase.

** **

**ATP - Hard - No probability filter**

Negative graph, downwards trend. Not enough results so far to get an idea of how accurate it is.

**ATP - Hard - 40% probability filter**
Even worse than above, however even less bets. Will need to give it a few months to see how the hard court bets perform for men (and women still for that matter).

So that's it. I have a sneaking suspicion it is going to be a role reversal with settings by the end of the year.

Here's what I 'predict'.

I need to factor in Clay surface type more for women's games.

I need to factor in Hard court surface type more for men's games.

I should also note, all this data is based on 3 set matches only. Missed the WTA French open so was not able to record results for this unfortunately.

However based on all of the above, I have high hopes for the new season that I can make something positive out of this going forward.

I guess the positive sign is, I've still made overall small profit/broke even essentially, without filters and without the need to change anything to the system throughout the season. If it was a continuous down-trending loss, it would be a disaster. As it stands it is quite positive to move ahead into the new season!