Friday, 12 February 2016

January & February Update + Blogabet update

Hi all,

Well, what a rollercoaster of a start to the new season. Ever heard of Alton Towers, heard of the ride Oblivion? You know, the one with the near vertical drop?

Yea that one. Well I might as well have based my results on that ride to the start of the new season!

January was horrific, I can't remember the exact figure but I believe I hit -38 or-40 units of profit in January alone! The month ended at a -20 units loss.

I was originally going to make a post about a week ago, complaining about my betting life and how cruel the variance gods had been etc etc. I guess I just wanted to make myself feel a bit better!

Anyway, after repeatedly telling myself it was just variance, despite knowing this, the results have had a remarkable turn around so far, as I write this, I am currently +20 units in profit for the start of February, two bad results today though meant I once again have not broken the 100+ profit barrier..yet!

T.Babos serving for the match and losing and R.Bautista-Agut losing from having 5 match points. Ha, I laugh in the face of such adversity! Why? Because results like this were happening on a daily basis for the last 4 weeks, today was a cakewalk after a good week of results.

To sum up January:

This is how I felt in January.

And this... how I'm feeling at the start of February.

Blogabet results currently stand at +95 units of profit with a yield of +6%, this is currently based on 805 results from my paid service.

Now onto my spreadsheet, below is a graph of the overall results, I have now recorded just over 1900 results, that's something like 500 picks I recorded in January alone I believe. Mainly grandslam matches, qualifying matches for that event and Challenger events.

February I haven't recorded as much with the other tours, especially Challenger, it's been a bit too time intensive at the moment to record Challenger games, on top of having to handle 5 ATP + WTA tours, posting picks and updating results. That's without my other work I do.

See that big rise and fall, that was practically done by men's results in the Aussie Open. I've had a worry that my model may not calculate 5 set matches accurately enough, I still need more data but so far I'm not instilled with the confidence I have with other results I have recorded.

WTA results however were positive for the aussie open. As always, I'll be gathering more data and probably waiting until the US Open before I get involved with WTA Picks, possibly I may venture itno them for Wimbledon.

From what I've seen, favourites tend to be under-priced in grandslam events so far. I'll continue my work and see what crops up a bit further in to the season.

That's about it for now, oh, I have started to trade again - based on my picks actually. I'm taking it nice and slow though to begin with, 1st set only in matches, however I am not having anywhere near the mental breakdown of  before when it comes to chucking money into a trade, when it goes wrong.

It's been very refreshing, however I have said this before only to implode so I'm just going to see how I get on for the next 2 months then post where I'm at with that side of things.

Next week I'm away for a relaxing weekend with my Fiancee and dog. I'll be taking my laptop so I can post picks for my service, however I intend to just be doing that so I actually spend a bit of time off the damn thing for once!

Until the next post!


  1. Nice Post., Sportsb8 is providing the Best Betting Offers on the Betting Exchange, click on link get more information about its.

  2. Amazing blog you have! Get best online soccer betting experience with Insider soccer tips. The most amazing things about this soccer site are it offers 50% sign up bonus to its player. Subscribe the valuable odds today. Try Your luck today!

  3. Scamtested makes it simple for you to make money online. We review products and services and find out what really works! Saving you time and money Matched Betting Blog

  4. Thank you sir,Thanks for sharing with us. I learn many things from this informations.

  5. What a great online source of information about this topic. you have done great work.